In the Buffalo metropolitan area in 1994, the most recent year for which data are available from the American Housing Survey, 29,100 households had "worst case" needs for rental housing assistance. These estimates do not include the homeless.

Households are considered to have worst case needs for housing assistance when they:

• are renters with incomes below 50 percent of area median income (which, in Buffalo, was $22,000 for a four-person household in 1998);
• either pay over half their income for rent or live in severely inadequate housing; and
• are not assisted by Federal, state, or local housing assistance programs.

In the Buffalo area:

• those with worst-case needs are 19 percent of renters and 6 percent of all households. Some 60 percent of the eligible unassisted very-low-income renters have worst case needs. In 1997, 52 percent of eligible unassisted renters in the U.S., and 59 percent of eligible renters in the Northeast, had worst case needs.
• 9,000 of the 29,100 households with worst case needs are families with children, and at least 12,200 other households have elderly or disabled members.
• 48 percent of the worst case heads of household that are not elderly or disabled are working.
• 32 percent of the worst case households are minorities.
• 28,800 are paying over half their income for rent, while 700 live in severely inadequate housing.
• fully 91 percent of those with worst case needs live in adequate, uncrowded housing, with severe rent burden as their only housing problem.
• most - 77 percent - of those with worst case needs have incomes below 30 percent of area median income, which in 1998 was $13,200 per year for a four-person household.
• severe shortages of affordable housing exist for renters with incomes below 30 percent of median. In 1994, for every 100 renter households with these "extremely low" incomes, there were only 64 units they could afford. And since many of these units were occupied by higher-income renters, only 43 units were both affordable and available for every 100 extremely-low-income renters.

The boundaries of the geographical area surveyed by the American Housing Survey in 1994 changed for this MSA from those included in the previous American Housing Survey, taken in 1988. Therefore, comparable data on change over time are not available at this time.