|HUD No. 15-131
Brian Sullivan, Office of Public Affairs
Raemeka Mayo or Stephen Cooper, Economic Indicators Division
October 20, 2015
HUD AND CENSUS BUREAU ANNOUNCE NEW RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITY IN SEPTEMBER
WASHINGTON - The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) and the U.S. Census Bureau jointly announced the following new residential construction statistics for September 2015:
Privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in September were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,103,000. This is 5.0 percent (±1.4%) below the revised August rate of 1,161,000, and is 4.7 percent (±2.0%) above the September 2014 estimate of 1,053,000. Single-family authorizations in September were at a rate of 697,000; this is 0.3 percent (±1.9%) below the revised August figure of 699,000. Authorizations of units in buildings with five units or more were at a rate of 369,000 in September.
Privately owned housing starts in September were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,206,000. This is 6.5 percent (±16.4%)* above the revised August estimate of 1,132,000 and is 17.5 percent (±18.0%)* above the September 2014 rate of 1,026,000. Single-family housing starts in September were at a rate of 740,000; this is 0.3 percent (±9.6%)* above the revised August figure of 738,000. The September rate for units in buildings with five units or more was 454,000.
Privately owned housing completions in September were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,028,000. This is 7.5 percent (±13.6%)* above the revised August estimate of 956,000 and is 8.4 percent (±18.7%)* above the September 2014 rate of 948,000. Single-family housing completions in September were at a rate of 643,000; this is 1.8 percent (±9.9%)* below the revised August rate of 655,000. The September rate for units in buildings with five units or more was 378,000.
New Residential Construction data for October 2015 will be released on Wednesday, November 18, 2015, at 8:30 A.M. EDT.
In interpreting changes in the statistics in this release, note that month-to-month changes in seasonally adjusted statistics often show movements which may be irregular. It may take two months to establish an underlying trend for building permit authorizations, 4 months for total starts, and six months for total completions. The statistics in this release are estimated from sample surveys and are subject to sampling variability as well as nonsampling error including bias and variance from response, nonreporting, and undercoverage. Estimated relative standard errors of the most recent data are shown in the tables. Whenever a statement such as "2.5 percent (±3.2%) above" appears in the text, this indicates the range (-0.7 to +5.7 percent) in which the actual percent change is likely to have occurred. All ranges given for percent changes are 90-percent confidence intervals and account only for sampling variability. If a range does not contain zero, the change is statistically significant. If it does contain zero, the change is not statistically significant; that is, it is uncertain whether there was an increase or decrease. The same policies apply to the confidence intervals for percent changes shown in the tables. On average, the preliminary seasonally adjusted estimates of total building permits, housing starts and housing completions are revised about three percent or less. Explanations of confidence intervals and sampling variability can be found on our web site listed above.
* 90% confidence interval includes zero. The Census Bureau does not have sufficient statistical evidence to conclude that the actual change is different from zero.
Read more about today's release of housing construction activity (www.census.gov/construction/nrc/).